The system trades at most once per week. If there is a new trade it will be posted during the weekend update for execution during the next market day. System results assume trading at the close during the next market day. We first posted the ETF 1 timing system version 2 on the web on November 8, 2008.
Version 2 incorporates an exponential moving average system that forces the signal to move to TLT (long term treasury bond ETF) when underlying stock market conditions are unfavorable for strong returns. Results before that date are back tested.
The system’s results and the current signal are posted below. If there is an ETF switch, the top row’s “Position” ETF will be different from last weeks and will be highlighted in yellow: